Met Office forecasts heatwave next week

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The forecast for the weekend is not as good as originally thought, but high pressure is on its way to Wales.

Welsh forecaster Derek Brockway said that a cold front will move southeast on Saturday, July 18 bringing cloud and a weakening band of rain.

Sunday looks like a better day and it is not all bad news as he added that “high pressure” is on the way next week and will bring “fine fine, settled conditions”.

But this weekend’s forecast will be disappointing news for pub and restaurant owners who will be wanting to make the most of the first weekend since they were allowed to open outside areas.



Before the weekend, the week is going to be quite cloudy but dry in Wales.

BBC meteorologist Tomasz Schafernaker says: “Wednesday is going to be a lot more cloudy across the UK, in fact quite dreary and drizzly in some places with overcast skies and might not even make 20C.

“Wednesday is not going to be particularly pleasant, at least for some of us.”

But weather charts show Thursday will see high pressure preventing further cloud growth, meaning brighter skies in parts as the temperatures start to climb.

The Met Office’s long-range forecast – beginning on Friday, July 17 – notes: “Temperatures are likely to be mostly around normal, although it may become warm for a time in the south.”

The forecast comes at the UK marks St Swithin’s Day on Wednesday.

The weather through the end of July and August is said to be determined by the whim of one of Britain’s medieval saints who is celebrated on July 15.

St Swithin was a ninth century Anglo-Saxon bishop of Winchester and, according to legend, was tutor to a young King Alfred the Great.

He is best known for a proverb which predicts 40 days of rain or sun, depending on what weather hits the UK on his special day.

Little is known about the saint, but he is said to have requested he be buried outside Winchester Cathedral so his grave would be exposed to both the footsteps of worshippers and the elements.

But in the 10th century, after some priests moved his tomb inside, a great storm hit, which was taken as a sign of St Swithin’s displeasure.

It sparked the proverb: “St Swithin’s Day if thou dost rain, for forty days it will remain, St Swithin’s Day if thou be fair, for forty days will rain na mair.”

So what can the UK expect for the next 40 days? Probably cloudy and a bit of drizzle, according to the Met Office.

Meteorologist Alex Burkill told the PA news agency: “For many it’s going to be a largely cloudy day.

“There will be a rain that could be a bit heavy at times, particularly across parts of Scotland and then western areas of the UK – so north-west England, Wales, south-west England.

“So cloudy with outbreaks of rain that will be heavier towards the north, and further east the clouds could be thick enough for a few spots of rain but mostly dry.”

Can we expect the weather to stay fixed for the next six weeks? In a word, no.

Asked if we will have 40 days of rain, Mr Burkill said: “I think in the history of anything that has never happened, and that’s not going to happen this time, fortunately.”

Mr Burkill added: “It’s a drier and brighter picture as we go into the start of August – it does look like we’re going to see more prolonged dry spells than really we’ve had this month.

“So quite a different story from what many of us can expect on quite a cloudy and damp St Swithin’s Day.”

Met Office forecast for Wales this week:

Today:

It will be a largely dry but cloudy day with a few bright spells at times. Rain will arrive from the west along coastal fringes towards late afternoon. Maximum temperature 19 °C.

Tonight:

Rain over the coast during the evening will spread eastwards through the first half of the night. A mild night under the cloud. Minimum temperature 10 °C.

Wednesday:

Early rain on Wednesday will gradually ease through day, allowing a few sunny spells to develop towards evening. Maximum temperature 18 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

The next few days should be mostly dry with bright or sunny spells though often cloudy with some rain likely on Saturday.



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